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Schools of Thought

Monetarist Economics

Also Known As Monetarism
Chicago School, Monetarism and the Free-Market Counter-Revolution

Monetarist economics is associated above all with the American economist Milton Friedman, who argued from the 1950s onward that the quantity of money circulating in an economy is the primary determinant of nominal economic activity, including the rate of inflation, over any reasonably long period of time. Friedman and his collaborator Anna Schwartz traced the severity of the Great Depression in the United States to a contraction in the money supply that the Federal Reserve allowed to happen rather than prevented, a diagnosis that put Monetarism in direct disagreement with Keynesian accounts centered on a prior collapse in private demand. Monetarists generally favor a stable, predictable, rule bound growth rate for the money supply over discretionary adjustments by central bankers, on the view that discretionary policy is more likely to destabilize an economy than to fine tune it successfully. Monetarist ideas influenced central bank practice in the United States and the United Kingdom from the late 1970s into the 1980s and remain a major reference point in debates over how central banks should conduct monetary policy.

Facts
Disputed
Start Year
1956 2
Historians of economic thought commonly date the emergence of Monetarist economics to a 1956 essay by Milton Friedman restating the quantity theory of money, though the school crystallized gradually across the work of Friedman through the 1960s rather than at one single identifiable moment.
Core Tenet
The quantity of money in circulation is the primary driver of nominal economic activity over time, so stable, predictable growth in the money supply, not discretionary fiscal intervention, is the most reliable route to economic stability. 1
Monetarist Economics
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Connections

Associated Figures and Events

1970s Stagflation, Events

Why this is disputed. Monetarist accounts, built on the expectations augmented Phillips curve associated with Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps, attribute stagflation to workers and firms coming to expect sustained inflation after years of rapid monetary growth, which shifted the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment that earlier Keynesian models had assumed was stable.

Source Wikipedia
Additional Source Wikipedia: Great Depression

Why this is disputed. John B. Taylor, working in the Chicago-adjacent rules-based monetary policy tradition, argued the Federal Reserve under Alan Greenspan held interest rates too low for too long in the early-to-mid 2000s, fueling the housing boom that preceded the crisis; other monetarists dispute how much weight this factor deserves against underwriting standards and securitization.

Source Wikipedia

Alongside Paul Volcker, already tied to this school on this atlas; Greenspan's Fed chairmanship is described in the same source as fundamentally monetarist in orientation.

Source Wikipedia

Crowding out is a central monetarist critique of deficit-financed fiscal stimulus, holding that government borrowing displaces private investment.

Source Wikipedia
Additional Source Crowding out (economics) (Wikipedia)
Inflation, Concepts

Milton Friedman argued that sustained inflation over any long period is fundamentally caused by growth in the money supply that outpaces growth in real output, a view central to Monetarist economics.

Source Capitalism and FreedomMilton Friedman
Source Capitalism and FreedomMilton Friedman
Nixon Shock, Events

Why this is disputed. Monetarist economists, including Milton Friedman, had long argued for floating exchange rates over the fixed system the Nixon Shock ended, though Friedman was not involved in the 1971 decision itself and did not endorse the wage and price controls that accompanied it.

Source Wikipedia
Additional Source Wikipedia: Great Depression

Volcker's reserve-targeting tightening of 1979-1982 is the reference case Monetarist economists cite for controlling inflation through the money supply.

Source Wikipedia

PPP is central to monetarist accounts of long-run exchange-rate determination.

Source Capitalism and FreedomMilton Friedman
Source Capitalism and FreedomMilton Friedman

Cited as a modern illustration of Milton Friedman's dictum that inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.

Source Hyper Inflation in Zimbabwe

Held Differently

Business Cycle, Concepts

Why this is disputed. Monetarists attribute the cycle chiefly to fluctuations in the growth rate of the money supply.

Source The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

Rejected Here

Great Depression, Events

Why this is disputed. Monetarists reject the pure demand-collapse account, holding the Federal Reserve's own contraction of the money supply as the primary cause.

Source Capitalism and FreedomMilton Friedman
Keynesian Economics, Schools of Thought

Why this is disputed. Milton Friedman's monetarism holds that controlling the growth rate of the money supply, not fiscal spending, is the effective and non-inflationary way to manage the business cycle, directly challenging the Keynesian reliance on fiscal policy to fight downturns.

Source Wikipedia
Modern Monetary Theory, Schools of Thought

Why this is disputed. Monetarists hold that financing deficits through money creation is inflationary in a way MMT understates; MMT holds inflation, not the money supply mechanically, is the real constraint and is manageable through targeted fiscal restraint.

Source Money, Fiscal Policy, and Interest Rates: A Critique of Modern Monetary Theory
Post-Keynesian Economics, Schools of Thought

Why this is disputed. Post-Keynesians hold that money is endogenously created by the banking system in response to credit demand and that financial markets are inherently unstable, rejecting the monetarist view of an exogenously controllable money supply and self-stabilizing markets.

Source Stabilizing an Unstable EconomyHyman Minsky

Critiqued Here

Phillips Curve, Concepts

Why this is disputed. Friedman and Phelps argued expectations adjustment makes the trade-off temporary; the long-run curve is vertical at the natural rate of unemployment.

Source The Role of Monetary Policy
Austrian School, Schools of Thought

Why this is disputed. Austrian economists, following Ludwig von Mises, favor praxeology, deductive reasoning from the axiom of purposeful human action, over the empirical, econometric methodology monetarists such as Milton Friedman championed, a methodological divide alongside their shared skepticism of fiscal fine-tuning.

Source Wikipedia

Associated With

Chicago School, Schools of Thought

Overlapping but distinct: monetarism concerns money supply and inflation specifically, while the Chicago School extends the same price theoretic method across microeconomics and applied policy; Milton Friedman is the central figure common to both.

Source The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

Robert Lucas is counted, alongside Milton Friedman, among the economists who led the movement, and new classical economics inherited monetarism's skepticism of discretionary demand management.

Source Wikipedia
Sources
1. Capitalism and Freedom
Milton Friedman, 1962
  • Associated Figures and Events: Great Depression, Chapter 3
    From the cyclical peak in August 1929 to a cyclical trough in March 1933, the stock of money fell by over a third.
  • Associated Figures and Events: Volcker Disinflation, Chapter 3
    Volcker's policy switched the Federal Reserve's operating target to bank reserves, a monetarist prescription for controlling inflation by controlling the money supply rather than the interest rate directly.
2. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics
Palgrave Macmillan
Encyclopaedia Britannica
Encyclopaedia Britannica, Inc.View the Source
Hyper Inflation in Zimbabwe
Economics Help (Tejvan Pettinger)Associated Figures and Events: Zimbabwe HyperinflationView the Source
Stabilizing an Unstable Economy
Hyman Minsky, Yale University Press, 1986Debated With: Post-Keynesian Economics
The Role of Monetary Policy
Associated Figures and Events: Phillips Curve
Money, Fiscal Policy, and Interest Rates: A Critique of Modern Monetary Theory
Debated With: Modern Monetary Theory
Wikipedia
Wikimedia Foundation
  • Associated With: New Classical Economics, New classical macroeconomics, key founders
  • Debated With: Keynesian Economics, Monetarism, lead section
    criticising Keynes's theory of fighting economic downturns using fiscal policy (e.g. government spending)
  • Debated With: Austrian School, Praxeology, Criticisms
    Austrian School economists, following Mises, use praxeology and deduction, rather than empirical studies, to determine economic principles.
  • Associated Figures and Events: 2008 Financial Crisis, John B. Taylor, Academic contributions
    Particularly, he focuses on the Federal Reserve which, under Alan Greenspan, a personal friend of Taylor, created 'monetary excesses' in which interest rates were kept too low for too long, which then directly led to the housing boom in his opinion.
  • Associated Figures and Events: Paul Volcker, Paul Volcker, Lead section
    During his tenure as chairman, Volcker was widely credited with having ended the high levels of inflation seen in the United States throughout the 1970s and early 1980s
  • Associated Figures and Events: Alan Greenspan, Alan Greenspan, Economic philosophy section
    Greenspan has been described as fundamentally a monetarist and Austrian economist in orientation on the economy.
View the Source
Wikipedia: Great Depression
  • Associated Figures and Events: Nixon Shock
  • Associated Figures and Events: 1970s Stagflation
View the Source
Crowding out (economics) (Wikipedia)
Associated Figures and Events: Crowding Out (Economics)View the Source
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