Schools of Thought
Monetarist Economics
Also Known As Monetarism
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Monetarist economics is associated above all with the American economist Milton Friedman, who argued from the 1950s onward that the quantity of money circulating in an economy is the primary determinant of nominal economic activity, including the rate of inflation, over any reasonably long period of time. Friedman and his collaborator Anna Schwartz traced the severity of the Great Depression in the United States to a contraction in the money supply that the Federal Reserve allowed to happen rather than prevented, a diagnosis that put Monetarism in direct disagreement with Keynesian accounts centered on a prior collapse in private demand. Monetarists generally favor a stable, predictable, rule bound growth rate for the money supply over discretionary adjustments by central bankers, on the view that discretionary policy is more likely to destabilize an economy than to fine tune it successfully. Monetarist ideas influenced central bank practice in the United States and the United Kingdom from the late 1970s into the 1980s and remain a major reference point in debates over how central banks should conduct monetary policy.
Facts
Disputed
Start YearHistorians of economic thought commonly date the emergence of Monetarist economics to a 1956 essay by Milton Friedman restating the quantity theory of money, though the school crystallized gradually across the work of Friedman through the 1960s rather than at one single identifiable moment. Core TenetThe quantity of money in circulation is the primary driver of nominal economic activity over time, so stable, predictable growth in the money supply, not discretionary fiscal intervention, is the most reliable route to economic stability. 1 Cross-Tradition Connections
Associated Figures and Events
1970s Stagflation, Events Why this is disputed. Monetarist accounts, built on the expectations augmented Phillips curve associated with Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps, attribute stagflation to workers and firms coming to expect sustained inflation after years of rapid monetary growth, which shifted the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment that earlier Keynesian models had assumed was stable.
Why this is disputed. John B. Taylor, working in the Chicago-adjacent rules-based monetary policy tradition, argued the Federal Reserve under Alan Greenspan held interest rates too low for too long in the early-to-mid 2000s, fueling the housing boom that preceded the crisis; other monetarists dispute how much weight this factor deserves against underwriting standards and securitization.
Alongside Paul Volcker, already tied to this school on this atlas; Greenspan's Fed chairmanship is described in the same source as fundamentally monetarist in orientation.
Inflation, Concepts Milton Friedman argued that sustained inflation over any long period is fundamentally caused by growth in the money supply that outpaces growth in real output, a view central to Monetarist economics.
Nixon Shock, Events Why this is disputed. Monetarist economists, including Milton Friedman, had long argued for floating exchange rates over the fixed system the Nixon Shock ended, though Friedman was not involved in the 1971 decision itself and did not endorse the wage and price controls that accompanied it.
Volcker's reserve-targeting tightening of 1979-1982 is the reference case Monetarist economists cite for controlling inflation through the money supply.
PPP is central to monetarist accounts of long-run exchange-rate determination.
Cited as a modern illustration of Milton Friedman's dictum that inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.
Held Differently
Business Cycle, Concepts Why this is disputed. Monetarists attribute the cycle chiefly to fluctuations in the growth rate of the money supply.
Rejected Here
Great Depression, Events Why this is disputed. Monetarists reject the pure demand-collapse account, holding the Federal Reserve's own contraction of the money supply as the primary cause.
Why this is disputed. Milton Friedman's monetarism holds that controlling the growth rate of the money supply, not fiscal spending, is the effective and non-inflationary way to manage the business cycle, directly challenging the Keynesian reliance on fiscal policy to fight downturns.
Why this is disputed. Monetarists hold that financing deficits through money creation is inflationary in a way MMT understates; MMT holds inflation, not the money supply mechanically, is the real constraint and is manageable through targeted fiscal restraint.
Why this is disputed. Post-Keynesians hold that money is endogenously created by the banking system in response to credit demand and that financial markets are inherently unstable, rejecting the monetarist view of an exogenously controllable money supply and self-stabilizing markets.
Critiqued Here
Phillips Curve, Concepts Why this is disputed. Friedman and Phelps argued expectations adjustment makes the trade-off temporary; the long-run curve is vertical at the natural rate of unemployment.
Why this is disputed. Austrian economists, following Ludwig von Mises, favor praxeology, deductive reasoning from the axiom of purposeful human action, over the empirical, econometric methodology monetarists such as Milton Friedman championed, a methodological divide alongside their shared skepticism of fiscal fine-tuning.
Associated With
Overlapping but distinct: monetarism concerns money supply and inflation specifically, while the Chicago School extends the same price theoretic method across microeconomics and applied policy; Milton Friedman is the central figure common to both.
Robert Lucas is counted, alongside Milton Friedman, among the economists who led the movement, and new classical economics inherited monetarism's skepticism of discretionary demand management.
Sources
1. Capitalism and Freedom
Milton Friedman, 1962
1. Capitalism and Freedom
Milton Friedman, 1962Associated Figures and Events: Great Depression, Chapter 3Quote, Associated Figures and Events: Great Depression, Chapter 3
From the cyclical peak in August 1929 to a cyclical trough in March 1933, the stock of money fell by over a third.
1. Capitalism and Freedom
Milton Friedman, 1962Associated Figures and Events: Volcker Disinflation, Chapter 3Quote, Associated Figures and Events: Volcker Disinflation, Chapter 3
Volcker's policy switched the Federal Reserve's operating target to bank reserves, a monetarist prescription for controlling inflation by controlling the money supply rather than the interest rate directly.
2. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics
Palgrave Macmillan
Encyclopaedia Britannica
Encyclopaedia Britannica, Inc.
Wikipedia
Wikimedia FoundationAssociated Figures and Events: Nixon ShockView the Source Wikipedia
Wikimedia FoundationAssociated Figures and Events: 1970s StagflationView the Source Wikipedia
Wikimedia FoundationAssociated With: New Classical Economics, New classical macroeconomics, key foundersView the Source Wikipedia
Wikimedia FoundationDebated With: Keynesian Economics, Monetarism, lead sectionQuote, Debated With: Keynesian Economics, Monetarism, lead section
criticising Keynes's theory of fighting economic downturns using fiscal policy (e.g. government spending)
View the Source Wikipedia
Wikimedia FoundationDebated With: Austrian School, Praxeology, CriticismsQuote, Debated With: Austrian School, Praxeology, Criticisms
Austrian School economists, following Mises, use praxeology and deduction, rather than empirical studies, to determine economic principles.
View the Source Wikipedia
Wikimedia FoundationAssociated Figures and Events: 2008 Financial Crisis, John B. Taylor, Academic contributionsQuote, Associated Figures and Events: 2008 Financial Crisis, John B. Taylor, Academic contributions
Particularly, he focuses on the Federal Reserve which, under Alan Greenspan, a personal friend of Taylor, created 'monetary excesses' in which interest rates were kept too low for too long, which then directly led to the housing boom in his opinion.
View the Source Wikipedia
Wikimedia FoundationAssociated Figures and Events: Paul Volcker, Paul Volcker, Lead sectionQuote, Associated Figures and Events: Paul Volcker, Paul Volcker, Lead section
During his tenure as chairman, Volcker was widely credited with having ended the high levels of inflation seen in the United States throughout the 1970s and early 1980s
View the Source Wikipedia
Wikimedia FoundationAssociated Figures and Events: Alan Greenspan, Alan Greenspan, Economic philosophy sectionQuote, Associated Figures and Events: Alan Greenspan, Alan Greenspan, Economic philosophy section
Greenspan has been described as fundamentally a monetarist and Austrian economist in orientation on the economy.
View the Source Hyper Inflation in Zimbabwe
Economics Help (Tejvan Pettinger)Associated Figures and Events: Zimbabwe HyperinflationView the Source Stabilizing an Unstable Economy
Hyman Minsky, Yale University Press, 1986Debated With: Post-Keynesian Economics
The Role of Monetary Policy
Associated Figures and Events: Phillips Curve
Money, Fiscal Policy, and Interest Rates: A Critique of Modern Monetary Theory
Debated With: Modern Monetary Theory
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